That Vitter did not succeed with this at any time this cycle is not entirely surprising, for two reasons. First, the group almost always supports incumbents and almost never challengers. With no incumbent running, less inertia impelled it to pick one of the nine candidates, although only Vitter, fellow Republicans Public Service Commissioner Scott Angelle and Lt. Gov. Jay Dardenne (a past endorsee when running for reelection), and Democrat state Rep. John Bel Edwards are considered quality contestants.
Jeffrey D. Sadow is an associate professor of political science at Louisiana State University Shreveport. If you're an elected official, political operative or anyone else upset at his views, don't go bothering LSUS or LSU System officials about that because these are his own views solely. This publishes five days weekly with the exception of 7 holidays. Also check out his Louisiana Legislature Log especially during legislative sessions (in "Louisiana Politics Blog Roll" below).
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17.9.15
LA sheriffs' statewide picks losing significance
Still
coveted but increasingly marginalized endorsements
came from the Louisiana Sheriffs Association for the 2015 statewide elections,
illustrating the slow but steady decline the organization has over political
contests beyond the local level.
Throughout
its history, the group of 64 representing every elected parish sheriff has
played a significant role in elections. Sheriffs, because of their law
enforcement and tax collecting duties, in parishes without elected chief
executives wield the most political clout, and this typically isn’t that shabby
even where they compete with a parish president. With an LSA endorsement, a
statewide candidate at least will not have a sheriff work against him in a
parish, and may have enthusiastic backing there. Thus, in the past candidates
worked hard to secure the group’s nod.
They
still do. Sen. David Vitter, who received
the group’s backing in 2010 for his Senate reelection, lobbied
for it to deliver to him early it seal of approval for this fall’s
gubernatorial run. Instead, the group deferred by endorsing no one; it takes 33
votes to secure one.
That Vitter did not succeed with this at any time this cycle is not entirely surprising, for two reasons. First, the group almost always supports incumbents and almost never challengers. With no incumbent running, less inertia impelled it to pick one of the nine candidates, although only Vitter, fellow Republicans Public Service Commissioner Scott Angelle and Lt. Gov. Jay Dardenne (a past endorsee when running for reelection), and Democrat state Rep. John Bel Edwards are considered quality contestants.
Second,
almost five-eighths of group members call themselves Democrats, more than twice
the number of Republicans in the organization. Although some of the long-time Democrats
likely really consider themselves Republicans but began their elected careers
under their present label and have seen no electoral reason to change, many
will stick with their party when it fields a quality candidate that they think
has a shot to win. With multiple quality Republicans in the race in addition to
Democrat Edwards, likely this fragmented voting enough so that no one could get
the simple majority needed.
More
interesting are decisions about the down ballot contests. Incumbents Sec. of
State Tom Schedler, Treasurer John Kennedy, and Agriculture Commissioner
Mike Strain all face opponents with close
to no chance of winning and predictably received the LSA’s blessing.
So
did Atty. Gen. Buddy Caldwell, who
does face significant opposition from another Republican, endorsed by their
party, former Rep. Jeff Landry.
But being that the attorney general is the second-most significant office to
the LSA and Caldwell has long-standing relationships with many sheriffs to the
point the group shows
him favorable treatment that got him into a questionable ethical situation,
it’s really no surprise it would back the incumbent here.
But
the most eye-opening result was a failure to endorse anybody in the Insurance
Commissioner’s race, including incumbent Jim
Donelon who
received the group’s backing in 2011. Facing token opposition, one must
wonder what Donelon did to provoke the ire of enough sheriffs that he could not
get a simple majority in favor of his endorsement.
Almost
as intriguing was the ability of former Plaquemines Parish President Billy Nungesser to secure the LSA
endorsement for the open lieutenant governor’s spot, an honor he did not
capture in 2011. If anything, Nungesser might have gotten on the wrong side of
sheriffs when he
lobbied against former Plaquemines Sheriff Jiff Hingle’s plans to build a
new large prison after the hurricane disasters of 2005; sheriffs enjoy the
revenue the state pays them for housing its prisoners and larger facilities can
bring in more of that funding. Hingle eventually went to prison over matters
related to the building of his parish’s.
However,
when in office Nungesser worked closely with sheriffs and the LSA on those occasions
inclement weather threatened the very exposed parish. And uncertainty over who
may win this job – Nungesser battles another quality Republican in Jefferson
Parish President John
Young where one of this pair likely will triumph in a runoff against Baton
Rouge Mayor-President Kip Holden – is of
far less importance to sheriffs than concerning the governor’s race. If it
picks someone over the eventual winner of the mansion, poisoning that well
would carry far more consequences than if that happened in regards to the guy
who oversees tourism in the state.
Yet
in the final analysis, none of these choices may matter much to the outcomes,
if at all. In 2011, unusually although perhaps predictably given his then-power
in state government, the only loser and non-incumbent that the group supported
was former House Speaker Jim Tucker, whom Schedler narrowly beat. In 2014,
given her label and incumbency, it backed
Democrat former Sen. Mary Landrieu, who got blown out in her reelection
bid.
This
is because the group’s power to sway voters at the statewide level continues to
diminish as dynamics change, producing a better-educated public with increased
access to information about candidates. Where candidates have the money and
communication channels and voters have interest in the office, an LSA
endorsement like so many others becomes hardly noticed, and any campaign efforts
it may make on behalf of a candidate find these overridden by the escalating
importance of party and ideology emphasized by candidates, other interest groups,
and media communications.
At
the local level, with less campaign infrastructure and information available to
voters typically seeing less salience to these kinds of contests, sheriffs’
clout still carries weight. But their power remains on a waning course in
statewide races, an admission reflected in the LSA unwillingness to wade into
the wide-open governor’s contest where it could get burned, as it did in 2003
with its endorsement of former Atty. Gen. Richard Ieyoub who did not even make
the runoff (it endorsed Gov. Bobby Jindal in the 2007 open contest when he
seemed the likely winner from the start). Thus another link to distinctive past
stem-winding Louisiana politicking erodes into insignificance.
That Vitter did not succeed with this at any time this cycle is not entirely surprising, for two reasons. First, the group almost always supports incumbents and almost never challengers. With no incumbent running, less inertia impelled it to pick one of the nine candidates, although only Vitter, fellow Republicans Public Service Commissioner Scott Angelle and Lt. Gov. Jay Dardenne (a past endorsee when running for reelection), and Democrat state Rep. John Bel Edwards are considered quality contestants.
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