So, now the latest salvo against right-sizing Louisiana state government comes as a result conditions behind R.S. 47:32.1 perhaps meeting fulfillment, yawps that policy-makers safely should ignore while instead they use the potential situation to their advantage
That statute, which kicked in this year, triggers automatic individual income and corporate franchise tax cuts when the rate of growth in those collections exceeds the rate of growth in personal income for the three calendar years preceding the fiscal year in question, if the prior fiscal year’s taxes, licenses, and fees exceed the FY 2019 baseline by more than that rate of growth in personal income and the Budget Stabilization Fund is at 2.5 percent of the total state revenue receipts.
Calendar years 2021-23 saw an average growth of over 4.9 percent, fueled by the false economy of supercharged Washington Democrat debt spending, although the highest component of that would roll off for the CY 2022-24 calculation. The BSF in May had about $975 million in it and could collect in earnings a little more or with a surplus declaration maybe a lot more before the end of the year. Total taxes, licenses, and fees for FY 2024 were then forecast at $16.124.2 billion, the actual total of which could go higher with a future forecast. These levels are such that state officials think the roughly $400 million forecast in franchise tax and $4.6 billion in individual income taxes could be pared $100-200 million for FY 2025 as the cut would happen on 2026 returns, accomplished by reducing rates much like with local property taxes having rates automatically rolled back if the value of continually-held and not improved property in the aggregate in a parish increased in assessment value.