Jeffrey D. Sadow is an associate professor of political science at Louisiana State University Shreveport. If you're an elected official, political operative or anyone else upset at his views, don't go bothering LSUS or LSU System officials about that because these are his own views solely. This publishes five days weekly with the exception of 7 holidays. Also check out his Louisiana Legislature Log especially during legislative sessions (in "Louisiana Politics Blog Roll" below).
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15.12.16
After ruling, Edwards must avoid acting irresponsibly
Louisiana’s Democrat Gov. John Bel Edwards loves to
implore state policy-makers to work together. Now he has a chance to put his
money where his mouth is.
Yesterday, state District Court Judge Todd
Hernandez handed
Edwards a setback in a case involving his executive order JBE 16-11,
which sets out parameters for employment and contracting provisions engaged in
by the state. It sets up a number of protected classes that largely mirror
federal and state law, except that it adds in classes of “sexual orientation”
and “gender identity” – terms nowhere defined by any law.
This prompted Republican Atty. Gen. Jeff Landry to sue Edwards to
prevent application of the order in its entirety. Landry’s
special concern came in contracting, as the attorney general must sign off
on state contracts for these to become valid – a power Edwards already had challenged
unsuccessfully in a different court. Because contracts emanating from the
Division of Administration contained the phrasing reflecting the order, Landry
refused to approve of these (including one that would shift funds to his
office), as well as those from other agencies, due to his interpretation that a
governor could not expand unilaterally these classes, in effect creating law. For
the same reason, the House Appropriations Committee refused to approve of
contracts it needed to vet.
14.12.16
Edwards resists maneuver to right-size LA govt
Just as Louisiana’s House Republican leadership
seems bound to cut the size of government, Democrat Gov. John Bel Edwards seems
determined to keep it inflated with assistance from media allies.
At yesterday’s meeting of the Revenue Estimating
Conference, told that in addition to an already hypothesized $313 million
deficit that as
much as $464 million could develop on top of that, the panel deferred 2-2
to make an official adjustment to the forecast. Edwards’ right-hand man
Commissioner of Administration Jay Dardenne and
Edwards’ ally Republican Sen. Pres. John
Alario voted to make the recognition, but GOP House Speaker Taylor Barras
and economist Jim Richardson deferred.
Barras said he wanted to take another month to see
whether revenues, which continue to underperform predictions, would
snap back. Richardson said he felt on the fence between officially starting
the deficit reconciliation process and hoping for more revenue but Barras’ position
he found reasonable enough to tip the balance in favor of no declaration. In
any event, even one vote against would block making revised projections, as
only unanimity can change a forecast.
13.12.16
Campbell blowout loss brings doubt to his PSC future
Last weekend’s elections produced a big and unexpected
surprise in north Louisiana in a cycle that should not have produced anything
unusual, perhaps foretelling the future.
As expected, Republican state Rep. Mike Johnson
crushed Democrat lawyer Marshall Johnson in racking up nearly two-thirds of the
vote. History tells us that Johnson can stay as long as he likes, as no
incumbent has lost reelection to this Shreveport-based district since former
Gov. Buddy
Roemer upended former one-term Rep. Buddy Leach in 1980, which broke a
six-decade stretch of successful incumbent reelections. Johnson’s rock-ribbed
conservatism combined with superior analytical and rhetorical skills honed by a
legal career featuring his argumentation in front of the U.S. Supreme Court
will make him, absent enormous change in district attitudes, hard to dislodge.
It also came as no surprise that the area’s Democrat
Public Serviced Commissioner Foster
Campbell lost to Republican Treasurer John
Kennedy for the open U.S. Senate seat. But the margin of his defeat and how
it happened does raise some eyebrows.
12.12.16
GOP voters punish Angelle, cap his political career
Payback time came for Republican Public Service
Commissioner Scott Angelle,
with a gift that keeps on giving for Democrat Gov. John Bel Edwards.
Last year, Edwards won the governorship in part because
of the gusto at which Angelle joined him in attacking GOP Sen. David Vitter. Angelle
hoped that by tearing down Vitter he could join Edwards in the runoff, where
dynamics suggested he could defeat him. Instead, he fell short, then refused to
endorse Vitter in the runoff.
One could make a strategic case for Angelle’s
deferral: so badly tarnished had the tag-team disparagement of Vitter made the
senator that associating with him potentially could have damaged Angelle for
his future political endeavors – the next step to which became clear shortly
thereafter when he announced a run for the Third Congressional District. Yet at
the same time that carried great risk, for refusal to back Vitter even as it
appeared his ship would sink to Republicans made Angelle seem like a disloyal
opportunist, willing to stab in the back the party’s best hope to win in order
to advance his own political ambitions.
11.12.16
The Advocate column, Dec, 11, 2016
Stop pestering Louisiana electors for Trump
http://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/opinion/jeff_sadow/article_b0c50596-bcc6-11e6-b5ce-cfc64199d536.html
Links:
http://www.heraldguide.com/details.php?id=17832
http://thehayride.com/2016/11/great-moments-in-obnoxious-lefty-letter-writing/
http://www.hamiltonelectors.com
http://avalon.law.yale.edu/18th_century/fed68.asp
https://static1.squarespace.com/static/52951d96e4b0c34219642ca5/t/57be0ca86a4963a0ef737895/1472072883837/Final+Draft+of+SCC+Minutes+6-11-16.pdf
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016/11/14/obama-s-imperial-presidency-now-is-trump-s.html
http://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/opinion/jeff_sadow/article_b0c50596-bcc6-11e6-b5ce-cfc64199d536.html
Links:
http://www.heraldguide.com/details.php?id=17832
http://thehayride.com/2016/11/great-moments-in-obnoxious-lefty-letter-writing/
http://www.hamiltonelectors.com
http://avalon.law.yale.edu/18th_century/fed68.asp
https://static1.squarespace.com/static/52951d96e4b0c34219642ca5/t/57be0ca86a4963a0ef737895/1472072883837/Final+Draft+of+SCC+Minutes+6-11-16.pdf
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016/11/14/obama-s-imperial-presidency-now-is-trump-s.html
8.12.16
LA legislators seeing through expansion snow job?
The Medicaid expansion con job perpetrated on
Louisiana by the Democrat Gov. John Bel Edwards
Administration continues to unravel, as confirmed
in yesterday’s preliminary budget hearings by the House Appropriations
Committee.
The Department of Health’s request for $14.6
billion for fiscal year would, in terms of operating expenses, vacuum up
half of the state’s spending. From the beginning of former Republican Gov. Bobby
Jindal’s terms, this more than doubles that amount of a decade ago
(including charity hospital costs), both in overall
spending and in the amount of general
fund dollars expended.
But LDH Secretary Rebekah Gee insisted Medicaid
expansion had nothing to do with escalating state costs, saying almost all new
spending would come from federal dollars. Further, she alleged that expansion
had saved money this fiscal year – the oft-stated number being $184 million –
and according to this budget would cause a reduction of $41 million in general
fund spending over last year.
7.12.16
Trump picks portend good things for Louisiana
The news just keeps getting better for Louisianans
regarding the shape of the incoming Pres.-elect Donald Trump Administration, with the
selection of Dr. Ben Carson as Sec.-designate of the Department of Housing and
Urban Development.
Before that pick, dating prior to the Republican’s
election last month, Louisiana experienced a steady stream of good news regarding
the assumed direction of national public policy under a Trump Administration.
Tapping significant anthropogenic climate change realist Myron Ebell to direct
incoming environmental policy and personnel meant a step back away from the punitive,
ideologically-driven Environment Protection Agency regulation of greenhouse
gases, challenged in court by Louisiana, and in approving of pipelines that
would bring substantial energy resources to the state for processing and
export. It also means putting a lid on alarmism
by the federal government on the hydraulic fracturing process of extracting
energy, which plagued
efforts in some parts of the state.
Naming Republican Rep. Tom Price to head the Department of
Health and Human Services will help Louisiana pull
back from the after-effects of ruinous
Medicaid expansion. If that survives at all, it likely would come in a form
of vouchers backed by block grants that allow states to shape their coverage
parameters and responsibility, perhaps along the lines of the plan initially
offered by incoming Vice Pres. and current Republican Indiana Gov. Mike Pence rejected by the federal
government.
6.12.16
Out-of-touch Campbell Senate candidacy sinking fast
As it suffers its death throes, the campaign of
Democrat Public Service Commissioner Foster Campbell has turned increasingly
bizarre, lurching into an Orwellian mode entirely tone deaf about why he will
lose this election in uncompromising fashion.
With polls showing a healthy
lead for fellow runoff contestant Republican Treasurer John Kennedy and early
voting trends not on Campbell’s side, he and his allied political action committee
Defend Louisiana have banked
everything on hopelessly desperate and tellingly self-unaware advertisements and statements. These
appear desperate because they spin fantastic assertions that strain credulity and
lack awareness because they bring up Campbell’s own vulnerabilities as a
candidate.
For example, even though Kennedy has publicly
voiced pro-life attitudes since 2004 and has the endorsement of the
leading pro-life group National Right to Life, the PAC ran ads claiming
Kennedy harbored pro-abortion sentiments more than a dozen years ago. That
Defend Louisiana would employ a tactic attacking Kennedy on inconsistency on
this issue seems ironic given that the organization initially formed to back
Democrat Gov. John Bel
Edwards last year, who himself evinced
pro-abortion sentiments in a contemplated 2006 run for Congress and in 2009
as a legislator supported weakening a pro-life conscience protection bill yet
now claims staunch pro-life views.
5.12.16
Conflict coming between Edwards' approval, agenda
Something’s going to have to give, and likely that
means public approval of Democrat John Bel Edwards will fall
unless he changes his agenda.
In a recent
poll, Edwards checked in with about five-eighths of registered voters
approving of his job performance, versus a third who disapproved. His rating
came in a bit overstated, however, as the sample contained 49 percent Democrats
compared to just 44
percent statewide, and that a significant gap appeared in judging him
favorably between Democrats much more friendly to him and Republicans. Also
worth considering: Democrats tend to turn out to vote in disproportionately
fewer numbers than Republicans, by a small margin.
Still, it’s better than being barely above water
as he was months ago, when then well under half approved. But going forward his
agenda the public soundly rejects, creating a major problem for his elective
career.
4.12.16
The Advocate column, Dec. 4, 2016
Edwards puts adults' needs ahead of children
http://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/opinion/jeff_sadow/article_41a77ce2-b803-11e6-be6e-c362010a712b.html
Links:
http://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/news/education/article_64b9cb26-aa85-11e6-8f67-eb08d7a6667c.html
https://edexcellence.net/articles/how-will-essa-change-ohio%E2%80%99s-school-report-cards
http://nepc.colorado.edu/publication/why-school-report-cards-fail
http://peterccook.com/2015/07/20/quick-take-jabbar/
http://www.governing.com/gov-data/education-data/state-education-spending-per-pupil-data.html
http://www.bea.gov/newsreleases/regional/spi/2016/spi0916.htm
http://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/news/education/article_267fa724-57f4-11e6-9a77-47e1011b4e6a.html
http://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/opinion/jeff_sadow/article_41a77ce2-b803-11e6-be6e-c362010a712b.html
Links:
http://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/news/education/article_64b9cb26-aa85-11e6-8f67-eb08d7a6667c.html
https://edexcellence.net/articles/how-will-essa-change-ohio%E2%80%99s-school-report-cards
http://nepc.colorado.edu/publication/why-school-report-cards-fail
http://peterccook.com/2015/07/20/quick-take-jabbar/
http://www.governing.com/gov-data/education-data/state-education-spending-per-pupil-data.html
http://www.bea.gov/newsreleases/regional/spi/2016/spi0916.htm
http://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/news/education/article_267fa724-57f4-11e6-9a77-47e1011b4e6a.html
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