U.S. voters catching up to LA's in voting by ideology

When it came to the 2016 presidential election, while Louisiana’s voting behavior may have typified past such elections, voters in other states joined majorities in Louisiana in that citizens nationally became more likely to vote in their own self-interests.

The political left will try to spin an interpretation of the election that whites, particularly men, achieved some kind of political consciousness based upon antipathy towards others not of their race and to larger cultural changes allegedly “inclusive.” This rallied them to turn out in large, unified numbers to allow Republican Pres.-elect Donald Trump to defeat Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton. The only problem with this view is that the data support a completely different, far less dramatic and less pejorative reality where issues matter more than image.

For the leftist thesis to hold, the count would have to end with increased Trump support over the total for 2012 GOP candidate Mitt Romney, who faced criticism for tepid turnout of expected voters and that exit poll data would show that whites would offer him significantly more support than Romney received in 2012. In fact, neither happened. When all the votes come in, Trump likely will receive fewer than did Romney, and he only improved one point in the proportion of white voters he pulled.

Returns squash notion of LA Democrat comeback

In today’s election Louisiana Republicans held serve and look to have confirmed that the shock win of Democrat Gov. John Bel Edwards was a one-off event.

Concerning the U.S. Senate, Treasurer John Kennedy, the front-runner essentially wire to wire, as expected led the field. That Democrat Public Service Commissioner Foster Campbell barely outdistanced Republican Rep. Charles Boustany and who combined with other Democrat votes only drew 30 percent – compared to Edwards getting 40 percent by himself in his general election contest – shows he is toast, with Kennedy finally realizing the Senate on his third try over a dozen years.

Congressional contests ended as expected. Excepting the Second, the majority-minority district where Democrat Rep. Cedric Richmond easily dispatched fellow partisan Baton Rouge Mayor-President Kip Holden, of all other districts only Democrat lawyer Marshall Jones managed to make it into a runoff, barely leading Republican state Rep. Mike Johnson. This ensures the election of Johnson, who will collect most of the votes of the other Republicans who ran, who got almost 50 percent – with the silver lining for Democrats being the most articulate social conservative in the Legislature will exit that body.

Campaign missteps highlight LA 2nd appellate race

As the level of government-by-judiciary increases, along with judges’ salaries in Louisiana, so has the amount of negativity in these contests, as a battle for a Second Circuit Court of Appeals race demonstrates.

Republican 26^th District Judge Jeff Cox challenged incumbent Republican Judge Jay Caraway, a veteran of two decades. Neither ever has run a campaign (or, technically, had a campaign run for them, as legally judicial candidates cannot involve themselves in their own campaigns), always finding themselves unopposed.

In Louisiana, roughly 90 percent of the time judicial races go off without opposition, and of those that do, most of the time those concern open seats. Rarely does a sitting jurist draw an opponent, as the legal community that deals with the incumbent often hesitates at opposing openly a judge who will rule on their cases.

Scam at EBR schools highlights need for choice

This should make Louisiana taxpayers hopping mad and does nothing to build trust in traditional public school systems, if not encourage educational choice.

Turns out the East Baton Rouge Parish School System got hooked by a phishing scam. A senior executive not once but twice inexplicably sent $46,500 to two suspicious bank accounts in a span of two days, and may have done it a third time except another administrator figured it out. The rules called for his countersignature on all of them, but in the first two instances he was out of town so she went ahead and violated the rules to do it anyway.

More specifically, the notes purported to come from Superintendent Warren Drake, who the recipient was led to believe could not be disturbed in his office – next door to hers. The sender address clearly did not come from EBRPSS personnel. It directed to send an amount of $22,500, and then $24,000 the next day, to the New York City area to names associated with people from Nigeria, giving their banking information.

The Advocate column, Nov. 6, 2016

Medicaid expansion busting the budget
http://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/opinion/jeff_sadow/article_88accabe-a144-11e6-b821-fb59335fd852.html

Links:
http://www.theadvocate.com/acadiana/news/politics/article_359d4d78-9d50-11e6-87a5-23454d24593a.html
http://www.investing.com/commodities/crude-oil-historical-data
http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/dsrv
http://www.bls.gov/web/empsit/cpseea01.htm
http://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/news/business/article_8abe8ccc-9d4b-11e6-89f8-73414c67a113.html
http://jeffsadow.blogspot.com/2016/10/tax-study-group-seeks-to-ratify.html
https://www.statereforum.org/system/files/mdcdexpntnimpct_mrch13.pdf
https://www.statereforum.org/sites/default/files/la_mdcdexpntn_april_14-2.pdf

Boustany does best, but Kennedy still Senate favorite

While the first U.S. Senate debate for Louisiana’s open seat presented the chance for the major candidates to put themselves on the paths they believed best to make for winning coalitions, the second would show well they could progress given the constraints inherent to those choices. Last night the consequences of those choices became clear, leading on the whole between both debates a performance most convincing to voters.

Starting with the least effective, that only could be the one contestant who did not inflict himself upon the viewing audience at the first one, invited just to the second. David Duke showed himself a joke on multiple occasions. The Republican, who has lived most of his life off of other people’s donations, made some valid general remarks, concerning government’s propensity to accumulate power to favor certain interests, but some of the details showed he has no connection to reality, such as his insisting a cabal of Jewish bankers wield too much political power in the world.

A quarter of a century ago, when running for senator and governor and racking up significant numbers of votes, he stuck with the generalities and understandably fooled many into supporting him on those occasions. But with time, his history since then, and an environment that provides far fuller information on candidates today, he probably thought he had nothing to lose by taking off his mask to reveal the beliefs that expose his general unfitness for elective office.

Floundering Jones CD 4 candidacy helps Guillory

For now, a popular game among those interested in politics around northwest Louisiana is “Where’s Marshall?” – but an amusement that looks unlikely to last much longer.

Drive around the Shreveport area or watch television emanating from it and you’ll occasionally see the visage of Democrat candidate for the Fourth Congressional District lawyer Marshall Jones touting “experience” (even though he’s never held elective office as opposed to three of his Republican opponents) and that he believes in God and guns. But unless you congregate among those he thinks likely to vote for him, you can be forgiven for thinking he exists only as a media creation.

So while he may show up at the Martin Luther King forum or at a brewery with other candidates, you’ll never see him at candidate gatherings where he can get asked tough questions such as at forums at Bossier Parish Community College or for the South Bossier Citizens Assembly. Questions like whether he will vote for Democrat presidential nominee Hillary Clinton, or her proposals to scrap the Keystone XL pipeline and increase gun control, whether he supports the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, whether he will raise taxes to fulfill his desire to balance the budget, etc.

Events add more controversy to fall LA amendments

Matters have gotten interesting regarding two of the six constitutional amendments with which Louisiana voters must struggle next week.

One has generated controversy because its impact appears indeterminate. Amendment 3 would remove the deduction for federal taxes now enjoyed by corporations, but because of two statutory changes that go into effect only if the amendment passes, it also would eliminate the several brackets of income tax rates applied to corporations and collapse them into just a 6.5 percent tax, below the current highest category at 8 percent.

As experts point out, the federal income tax deduction artificially inflates rates, to some degree takes state tax policy out of its own hands (because federal tax changes happen independently), and does not guard against double taxation of equity investments. Optimal tax policy emphasizes simplicity, and the removal of the deduction plus the added-on flat rate accomplishes this.

LA Supreme Court wisely advances religious freedom

The Louisiana Supreme Court ruled correctly on a case pitting religious freedom against laws requiring reporting of a crime against minors, finding a way to permit attainment of both objections.

This issue involved the confession a female minor made to Rev. Jeff Bayhi in 2008, where she allegedly told him of abuse at the hands of a now-deceased male member of the congregation. The family had sued Bayhi and the Diocese of Baton Rouge, saying he should have alerted authorities. But canon law unambiguously states that for a priest to violate ministrations under the confessional seal, even if the penitent reveals the content of it, would lead to his excommunication.

The Court had ruled over two years ago that if the penitent voluntarily revealed the information then courts could compel the priest to testify, in an attempt to clarify ambiguity in statutes. The Children’s Code maintained that mandatory reporters, defined as to include clergy, had to report potential endangerment regardless of privilege, while the Code of Evidence made privileged communications under confession. The defendants brought the matter to the U.S. Supreme Court, which declined to hear the case.

The Advocate column, Oct. 30, 2016

Landry simply follows constitutional principles
http://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/opinion/jeff_sadow/article_359f19b8-9c61-11e6-9542-f742e16f8863.html

Links:
http://gov.la.gov/assets/ExecutiveOrders/JBE16-11.PDF
http://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/news/politics/article_e132cfe2-9476-11e6-823e-6f5ad58d8a5a.html
http://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/news/politics/article_73a73fa2-96f2-11e6-9c51-0f0c4035df18.html
http://www.legis.la.gov/legis/Law.aspx?d=206444