Jeffrey D. Sadow is an associate professor of political science at Louisiana State University Shreveport. If you're an elected official, political operative or anyone else upset at his views, don't go bothering LSUS or LSU System officials about that because these are his own views solely. This publishes five days weekly with the exception of 7 holidays. Also check out his Louisiana Legislature Log especially during legislative sessions (in "Louisiana Politics Blog Roll" below).
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3.11.16
Boustany does best, but Kennedy still Senate favorite
While the first
U.S. Senate debate for Louisiana’s open seat presented the chance for the
major candidates to put themselves on the paths they believed best to make for
winning coalitions, the second
would show well they could progress given the constraints inherent to those
choices. Last night the consequences of those choices became clear, leading on
the whole between both debates a performance most convincing to voters.
Starting with the least effective, that only could
be the one contestant who did not inflict himself upon the viewing audience at
the first one, invited just to the second. David
Duke showed himself a joke on multiple occasions. The Republican, who has
lived most of his life off of other people’s donations, made some valid general
remarks, concerning government’s propensity to accumulate power to favor
certain interests, but some of the details showed he has no connection to
reality, such as his insisting a cabal of Jewish bankers wield too much
political power in the world.
A quarter of a century ago, when running for
senator and governor and racking up significant numbers of votes, he stuck with
the generalities and understandably fooled many into supporting him on those occasions.
But with time, his history since then, and an environment that provides far
fuller information on candidates today, he probably thought he had nothing to
lose by taking off his mask to reveal the beliefs that expose his general
unfitness for elective office.
Democrat lawyer Caroline
Fayard has a better grasp of reality, but comes off merely
as ignorant or deluded. Like Duke, she did adequately when sticking to general
themes, like generational change or alleging she could assist the middle class against
the wealthy who supposedly don’t “pay their fair share.” It’s the details that
makes her seem like a bubblehead. For example, nobody seriously can claim the
wealthy – let’s define them as those making about $450,000 a year and above or
the top 5 percent of adjusted gross income – don’t pay their “fair share” when they
pay nearly three-fifths of all federal income taxes.
Sticking her foot farther in her mouth, she
repeated bogus
claims about unequal pay for women and support for raising the minimum wage
– somehow not realizing that the non-wealthy she would purport to help would
be hurt by such a scheme. Nobody can take such a candidate seriously.
The same, although in a different way, applies to
Democrat Public Service Commissioner Foster
Campbell, who alleges he’s for the little guy against evil
corporations yet also seems blissfully unaware of how his policy preferences
work against the people’s interests. Taking an example from a topic the debate
never touched (the paucity of coverage largely due to Duke’s frequent
remonstrations and avoidance in answering certain questions), Campbell faith in
the myth of significant anthropogenic climate change, as reflected policy made
through recent federal government rulemaking, will cost
a net millions of jobs.
As truncated as the debate topics were, still
enough of these came up to show Campbell lost in the policy fog. He spent
perhaps his most time on a question about taxation where he railed against
companies moving resources offshore and thereby generating untaxed profits, and
said he would stump for measures to capture those that could involve raising
corporate taxes. Of course, going completely over his head is that the U.S. has
the world’s highest marginal corporate tax rates which is why they move money
offshore in the first place, so Campbell’s
ideas to prevent that will cause even more capital and jobs to flee the country.
Again, the shallow thinking on the issues that he demonstrates ill-suits
representing Louisiana in the Senate.
The front-runner, Republican Treasurer John Kennedy, did his best to stay on
his path of vague, folksy bromides that argued fiscal problems would disappear
without promoting so much “waste” in government that gets there because of
entrenched politicians in Washington. When other candidates challenged him on some
actions short of parsimony in his treasurer capacity or concerning his support
of liberal policies and candidates prior to a decade ago, rather than defend or
explain these (with the exception of pointing out other individuals who, like
he, had changed parties from Democrat to Republican), he either left these
unaddressed or termed these “lies.”
Befitting his status and strategy of running
against Washington, viewers could expect little more. What few specifics
Kennedy did get into in short answer questions revealed conservative preferences
and in other venues he shows greater depth of thought, yet the viewer causally
interested in politics tuning in for guidance on a vote decision might have
thought him less than willing to spell out exactly what he would do and why,
other than stamp out “waste.”
Republican Rep. John Fleming gave much more in the way of specific
policy preferences and justifications for these, all solid. Yet the manner by
which he went about it diminished the seriousness of his performance. Constant
reminders of his conservatism and of his self-moniker as “the one true
conservative” in the contest didn’t do this so much as how he tried so hard to
find ways to attack mostly Kennedy, sometimes GOP Rep. Charles Boustany (a reverse of the previous debate).
Fleming is a serious candidate with serious ideas,
particularly in contrast to the Democrats and Duke, but in the debate did not
give a very good sense of that in his eagerness to show himself as the most
conservative of the bunch. The casual viewer seeking guidance for a vote
decision might have taken his apparent self-distraction as a lack of heft necessary
in an elected official.
Of all candidates across both debates, Boustany
came off as the most measured and knowledgeable, as he tried to further the
image of somebody who gets results in a conservative direction. If anything, he
tended to become a bit tongue-tied and prone to wandering in the weeds with
some of his policy explanations and in assertion of results of his actions, which
might have caused some viewers to glaze over. That he seemed most policy- and
result-oriented doesn’t mean he has the best ideas, but he carried these off on
stage in convincing fashion.
So, if judging both forums on the criterion of how
well together these advanced the chances of a candidate to win, Boustany
narrowly outpaced Fleming. But even if Kennedy trailed, he did little to damage
his chances that at this point continue to install him as the favorite.
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