The philosophical
change concerning Louisiana’s coastal policy will bring greater benefits
when a more scientifically-based approach infuses the upcoming 2029 Master Plan
for the coast.
The Republican Gov. Jeff Landry
Administration since taking office signaled a strategy alteration in how to
handle the state’s receding coastline. Rather than spend enormously on a very
few big projects designed to reshape water carriage and runoff to entice this
to become a conduit of sediment in a fashion that should rebuild land, the new
leadership over the Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority plans to
emphasize many smaller projects that rebuild discrete locations and augment
protection from flooding. This approach minimizes disruption of existing economies
and ecosystems.
The Master Plan, devised every six years, provides
overall guidance, but annually the CPRA after its Board’s approval must present
a list of specific projects for funding by the Legislature. Those selected must
be congruent with the direction of the Plan. The roster for fiscal year 2027
contains less spending because the previous main strategy of flowing water
diversions was so much more expensive, absent now as the Landry Administration
halted that work.
Those invested in the prior approach squawked
when the paradigm shift occurred and currently claim they will support the
list as long as, in their opinion, it comports to the Plan. But the
longstanding problem with the plan extant is how it strays from depoliticized science
as its foundation.
The past two plans, both ratified under the
Democrat Gov. John Bel
Edwards Administration, used entirely unrealistic modeling, for example, of
exaggerated eustatic sea level rise based upon highly unlikely scenarios. Ensuing
research has verified that misfire, and with this as a part of growing evidence
that hyperventilated claims have no
evidentiary or theoretical backing even acolytes of the ideology behind
that “science,” catastrophic anthropogenic global warming, are losing
faith.
Garbage in, garbage out, so that makes the Plan’s
focus suspect. Thus, it’s wise for CPRA leadership to rein in the vastly
expensive projects and concentrate on smaller, more protective ones in light of
the fact that the larger were formulated with apocalyptic scenarios given
credence as a significant possibility, which only wastes money by an
overexaggerated approach.
But the real work remains with the next iteration of
the Plan returning to a more science-based approach free of ideology. Work on it
already has started with a series of public solicitations and more planned.
Coming up with a plan based on realistic assumptions
will serve taxpayers better and target better the right interventions to
prevent coastal land loss and to protect vulnerable populations from natural
disasters. That will be a welcome change, and while the Landry Administration
is doing the best it can to compensate for past mistakes, there’s no substitute
for having the correct foundation in place by which to make project decisions.