The situation
prior to Tuesday’s end of session remains in great flux. A mélange of
ten bills circulate at present to bring this about, addressing five distinct issues,
presented here roughly in order of impact in lowering vehicle insurance rates:
(1) lowering the amount in controversy, or the jury trial threshold, (2)
calculating more accurately the actual costs involved to deal with injury, or
collateral source, (3) eliminating the ability to sue insurance companies
directly, or direct action, (4) allowing evidence of seat belt usage in a
trial, or the seat belt gag rule, and (5) lengthening the amount of time to
file these cases for hearing, or the prescription period.
Currently, leadership has
banked upon eight of these instruments addressing these matters. HB 57 by GOP
Speaker Clay
Schexnayder tackles the jury trial threshold by lowering it to $10,000, the
seat belt exclusion, and a diluted version of direct action, after the Senate
amended out a section dealing with collateral source. It sits in conference
between those two versions.
SB 9 by Republican state Sen. Sharon Hewitt replicates ending the seat belt exclusion in HB 57. It rests on the desk of Democrat Gov. John Bel Edwards, an avowed foe of all the provisions but doubling prescription to two years. He could veto either of these bills that makes their changes permanent as of next year and have little chance of their override, since that would require a veto override session unlikely to have a majority of either chamber members support.
In response, there are HCR 18, 19, and 20 by GOP
state Rep. Alan
Seabaugh and SCR 14, 15, and 16 by Republican
state Sen. Robert
Mills. Collectively, these suspend for about a year starting Aug. 1
exclusion of seat belt usage in determining accident tort damages, the ability
to sue directly insurers relative to such accidents, and the current jury
threshold of $50,000. In essence, these represent temporary but more extreme
versions of the other two bills and in language are tied to them: if neither of
the bills become law, meaning that Edwards doesn’t sign them prior to the end
of the session, these resolutions would kick in.
They also would cause
disruption and potentially greater expense to the state’s judiciary, but
require only simple majorities to pass and Edwards can’t veto them. In essence,
their presence invites him to sign legislation he greatly dislikes or be forced
to accept temporary but renewable changes he absolutely loathes. One of the
Senate resolutions has made it to the House (on a test vote that showed all
three could command a Senate majority), but given its rules the trio if there
would have to run a gauntlet of supermajority votes for consideration, so the identical
House resolutions, all of which await scheduling for the full Senate,
realistically remain available for use.
Floating on the periphery
is HB 44
by GOP state Rep. Ray Garofalo,
which at one time mirrored HB 57 but was stripped down to serve as an instrument
carrying the collateral source language like that in the HB 57 House version. It
next would go to conference and could be subject to chaining, but appears to be
the provision most likely for the majority to sacrifice.
Finally, HB 66 by
Republican state Rep. Richard Nelson
appears as the wild card. Described by its author as a “compromise,” it picked
up considerable Democrat support on the House and a Democrat vote in Senate
committee. It contains entire or diluted reforms pertaining to four of the issues,
excepting the gag rule.
However, it also contains
two poisonous passages. One would prohibit the use of sex in pricing premiums
for those 25 or older. Evidence
from other states shows this would increase prices in the aggregate,
although probably not by much.
Worse, that would help to
sabotage another portion, which mandates in three years that rates fall 15
percent compared to changes in other states or the bill’s language nullifies.
Too many Louisiana-specific, idiosyncratic variables out of control of legislation
in rate-setting make this impractical to judge whether reforms worked; for
example, they could cause a 20 percent reduction but other things such as increases
in numbers of miles driven, accidents, severity, etc. could take back 10
percent, leaving it short of the goal.
More practically, the
contingent status of the reforms would inhibit new insurers from entering the
state, a key component in driving down rates, and cause others to leave
pressured to lower rates too much if outside pricing factors work against that.
Finally, even in the hypothetical scenario above a 10 percent comparative reduction is better
than none, but would be lost under the current language.
If it goes anywhere,
leadership must excise these, but it wouldn’t matter in a sense. Edwards, under
great pressure from trial lawyers who sent tens
of millions of dollars to support his campaign and Democrats generally who
depend upon trial lawyer donations for election and need that source to
continue (even as they double-dip by voting for HB 66 so they can claim they
are for reform), would veto the current language as well.
Legislative leadership
can’t mess around. One guiding principle must inform all its actions: on this
matter with all other things equal, Edwards can’t be trusted to do anything but
veto whatever hits his desk.
Thus, you have to make other
things unequal. GOP Pres. Page Cortez must
schedule the Seabaugh resolutions for Monday and make sure they pass to cock
the gun. Also, he should schedule HB 66 with amendments to stripping its
poisonous measures and send that to a vote in time for conference (and perhaps linking
it to others). Finally, in the House Schexnayder should take HB 44 into
conference and see if he can link it to enactment of HB 57; that is, in HB 57
conference write that signing HB 44 must happen or HB 57 fails, meaning the
resolutions kick in.
This strategy attains
everything, but winning just a large portion of it improves matters for
Louisiana ratepayers. Skilled leading will force Edwards to sign many or all of
these reforms into law in forms that will make a real difference. Republicans
just have to have the will to do it.
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