Jeffrey D. Sadow is an associate professor of political science at Louisiana State University Shreveport. If you're an elected official, political operative or anyone else upset at his views, don't go bothering LSUS or LSU System officials about that because these are his own views solely. This publishes five days weekly with the exception of 7 holidays. Also check out his Louisiana Legislature Log especially during legislative sessions (in "Louisiana Politics Blog Roll" below).
17.1.17
Associations to play big role in HD 8 election
Associations past and present will play an
important role determining the victor of the Louisiana House of Representatives
District 8 contest this spring.
On Mar. 25, voters in northern Bossier Parish will
head to the polls for the special election to replace Republican Rep. Mike Johnson after his recent win.
With just a shade
under half of the district’s registrants signed up as Republicans, this may
be the most conservative House seat in the state. A Democrat has not even tried
to run since 1995.
But that doesn’t mean fellow travelers of that
party have not made an attempt in the past two decades. In 2003, lawyer Ryan Gatti came up way short against
former Rep. Jane Smith. A dozen years later, Gatti narrowly won the state
Senate post from the area, in the process openly aiding Democrat Gov. John Bel Edwards in his
upset victory.
In his first year in office, Gatti adopted the
playbook traditionally used by white Democrats – vote
conservatively on social issues, but support big government through
increased taxing and spending and fought challenges to limited government such
as in opposing school choice. And similar Republican in Name Only DNA appears
to contest the current District 8 election, in the form of his brother Robbie Gatti.
It’s hazardous to assign the sins of the brother,
but Robbie Gatti’s choices indicate he could be a Democrat in Republican sheep’s clothing. He rented out his business’ office space to Edwards for campaign
headquarters and he and Ryan Gatti campaigned hard against Johnson in favor of
the most moderate GOP candidate in that contest – so hard that it caused
considerable division within the congregation of the church where Robbie Gatti
serves as a pastor, as Johnson has unimpeachable social conservative
credentials.
However, no Democrat running could give Robbie
Gatti a leg up in as the de facto
Democrat in the race. Yet with those registrants comprising just around a
quarter of the electorate, that only goes so far, so he also seems to make a
play for capturing the establishment political interests in Bossier Parish. His
only path to winning would be to disallow any opponent from grabbing the
majority of the genuine conservative vote.
Certainly, former candidate and retired
firefighter Duke Lowrie, who racked up
a credible 43 percent of the vote in 2011, had the chance to do so, except for
his 2015 posting on social media a message that he would not patronize
businesses with Muslim employees due to his feeling that Islam too easily
encourages violence. Despite his previous and current campaigning demonstrating
him a full-spectrum conservative entirely supportive of limited government and
traditional social values, that parochial comment may discourage some
Republicans from backing him.
If so, former military and civilian pilot Raymond Crews has the opportunity to
capitalize. Crews, who serves actively at his church and as a small business
owner, allies with Johnson, not the least of which in their sharing
full-spectrum conservative views. The Bossier political establishment never was
a big fan of Johnson’s, but if Crews’ campaign can ignite the same fervor as
did Johnson among the district’s electorate – to the point no one challenged
Johnson in two attempts – he will prove tough to deny.
And an interesting wild card also jumped in the
race. Freshly-minted lawyer Patrick Harrington brings potential to the contest.
Always graduating at the head of his classes and serveing in top student
government positions, he recently received his law degree after spending time
as the student
representative on the Louisiana Board of Regents. He also ran for mayor of
Benton fresh out of his undergraduate studies and sat on the parish’s
Metropolitan Planning Commission.
Like Robbie Gatti, family ties also could come
into consideration in his campaigning. His father was longtime area lawyer Pat
Harrington, who ran into professional
and legal troubles in the 1990s. His young age thus lack of real world
experience also may work against him.
Given the typical somnambulant nature of Bossier
City elections that happen at the same time – actually hardly occurring at all,
because city incumbents ran disappointingly without opposition in every case
except one – at least this race should provide some political excitement during
this area’s election cycle.
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