Even as Democrat Gov. John Bel Edwards
suffered political defeat during the recently-concluded special session of the
Louisiana Legislature, legislation
filed during the regular session provides him an opportunity to score some
political points – or maybe demonstrate fraudulence of his asserted social
conservatism.
Edwards called the session
ostensibly to pursue fiscal reform, but his call defined that as extremely
heavy on tax hikes and very light on spending cuts, with little emphasis on
altering the practices and processes of state government that a genuine effort
would entail. It ended in almost balancing the current fiscal year budget but
leaving a substantial gap for the next because he refused to investigate seriously
spending reductions, kicking the can down the road to his discredit.
Should the Republican-controlled
Legislature come up with legislation that facilitates trimming state government
– the deficit amounts to about three percent of total spending – Edwards will
suffer a complete rout in his first half-year in office. Supposing he gets his
wish to keep inflated government by having tax increases enacted in another special
session, still he takes a political hit for both instigating higher taxes and
lacking the leadership to reduce the drama produced by the necessity of a
last-minute reprieve when he could have gotten the job done the first time.
Despite their disagreements on
fiscal policy, if believing his campaign rhetoric then Edwards and Republicans share
pro-life views on the issue of abortion. Several bills present themselves on
this subject that he can get behind where his articulated assent would
guarantee they reach his desk.
HB 386 by
state Rep. Frank
Hoffman would extend the waiting period to undergo an abortion from 24 to
72 hours. That extra time causes no impairment to accessing the gruesome but
legal practice. HB 488 by
Rep. Katrina
Jackson would require the doctors performing these to have board
certification in obstetrics/gynecology or family medicine, an extraordinarily
reasonable standard. These bills surely would not raise a ruckus with a
policy-maker who claims he opposed abortion.
But HB 606 by
Hoffman, SB
264 by state Sen. Fred Mills, and HB 889 by
state Rep. Alan
Seabaugh will challenge Edwards’ relationship with his liberal allies. To
varying degrees these would prohibit any taxpayer dollars going to
organizations that commit abortions, even though the specific dollars received
would not fund directly the practice.
Critics of abortion have noted
correctly that, by paying for other activities of these entities, taxpayers
indirectly subsidize abortion. Quite possibly the removal of those funds would end
up making continuance of the offering noneconomic, frustrating the ideological
desires of supporters of abortion on demand.
Ironically, abortion opponents
probably never would have filed such legislation that could shut the doors of
an organization like Planned Parenthood had Edwards not achieved his upset victory.
A conservative Republican governor would have drawn all sorts of flak from the political
left, creating pressure to derail these. Yet Edwards may need to give vigorous public
support to these kinds of issues specifically to distract from his fiscal policy
failures to date and more generally to shore up his social conservative
credentials for reelection purposes.
Thus these bills force a double
quandary onto leftists: Edwards must decide whether to support these bills and
potentially draw the ire of his liberal cohort, and they must decide whether by
criticizing him over a supportive attitude on these they erode his political
capital to pursue other aspects of their agenda where they and Edwards have no
possibility of dispute. If they end up in conflict, that could contribute to his
losing reelection and eliminate any hope of getting most if not all of their
agenda translated into public policy.
These also force Edwards to put his
money where his mouth is. Should any reach his desk, and it seems likely at
least one would make it, anything other than his signing any survivor of the legislative
process into law opens him up to charges of campaign hypocrisy, damaging his electability.
So these bills present a no-lose
situation for social conservatives: either they register an important policy
success or expose Edwards as a fraud. It leaves him with a difficult political
decision that could compound his lackluster performance in office to date.
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