In the past two years, a pair of
reductions in premium expenses to payers – who in number are about 130,000
representing around 221,000 covered persons (a media
report gives the figure as 250,000, but that seems unlikely as using 2010
data, the latest publicly available for these numbers and medical claims
expenses, produced a ratio of members to covered persons of 1.7) – has contributed
to a fall from around $525
million to about $245 million at the end of 2013. After a 7.11 percent
decrease beginning in fiscal year 2012, the drop was to $413 million at the end
of FY 2013, but after a 1.77 percent decrease starting in FY 2014, the shallow
decline became much steeper. Monthly revenue collections have declined roughly
$10 million a month over that period (when adjusted for 2,000 fewer members due
to downsizing of government).
Some seemed concerned about this.
Frank Jobert, head of the interest group Retired State Employees Association, rather
than be happy about the rate decreases of the past, suddenly now frets that
there will have to be a big rate increase as a result of this. There is planned
in the budget for next fiscal year a 5 percent rate increase – but this is not
really driven by any desire to bump up reserves but instead to offset the
impact of increased
premium costs to the state courtesy of the Patient Protection and Affordable
Care Act (especially those ending
special state exemptions). So that should add little if anything to the
reserves.
This also has got the attention
of state Rep. Jim
Fannin, who asserts he’s “heard” from somewhere that $300 million ought to
be kept in reserves for medical benefits payment. And, historically, the state
always was in that range. In 2008,
it was $271 million. It’s only in the last few years that it ballooned to its
high figure and the end of 2013 number closer to historical norms. Commissioner
of Administration Kristy Nichols says it should be even lower, at $150 million
or even less.
According to industry practices,
she’s correct. Typically, two months’ worth of claims is the industry standard
and a number states prohibit
keeping more than three months’ worth in reserves. Using the 2010 data, two
months’ worth of claims would be $147.5 million.
In some ways, the issue mimics
that of dedicated funds where money piles in way beyond any valid need for it,
raising the question of whether it should sit idle as far greater priorities
need funding or be spent on low priority purposes, or whether these funds ought
to be used in the form of funds transfer creating “one-time money” for more important
matters (or if such important purposes don’t seem to need this funding, whether
they ought to be collected at all). Drawing down on these reserves to a more appropriate
level saves not only families of state employees and retirees, but also
taxpayers, because they pay the lion’s share of any premiums charged.
Unfortunately, for a few years
until 2011 in essence employees and retirees and taxpayers were charged more in
premiums than they should have been, as the burgeoning reserves demonstrated.
The same group in the past couple of years have been beneficiaries of that
correction, and continue to be by paying lower rates than years ago in an
economy where health care costs have increased and, as noted above, for federal
policy reasons will go higher still. They should not have to overpay again in
an attempt to boost reserves to an arbitrary level that has no sound actuarial
reason behind it.
ReplyDeleteMore BS! Total BS!!
Tell the whole story!
The Administration orchestrated this to free up money to pay recurring operating expenses of government.
Look right at your reader, Professor Cockalorum, and swear that is good management. I don't think you can do it.