The question remaining, however, is the big one ostensibly why the meetings were called, whether Louisiana is going to want to keep boxing itself in and creating its own crisis. There are two reasons this “crisis” has happened: (1) the true risk-return ratio for insurance in the state has been underestimated on the risk side and (2) there is an inflexible law on the books, which no other state has, which fundamentally distorts the ratio by forcing insurers to offer coverage without an easy exit option for removing that kind of coverage while being able to write other kids of policies in the state.
Casting aside more dramatic and long-term scenarios, the state should, and can right now, do this: invite Allstate to jack up its rates as high as it would like to cover the risk its sees added that is making it want to drop wind and hail coverage. As part of its job, the Insurance Rating Commission will make sure the request represents a reasonable predicted profit level and that it doesn’t engage in collusion with other companies (who also may be invited to raise rates) to create the opposite problem, artificially high rates. If so, then competition will keep a lid on rates.
The lid, however, will be higher, perhaps significantly, than in the past. That’s good. This will have the effect of increasing rates paid by the state insurer, Louisiana Citizens Property Insurance Corporation (it must price its insurance at least 10 percent higher than a basket of the rates of the largest private insurers) which will mean its policyholders will pay for more of their own claims and state ratepayers and taxpayers will have to pay less (because Citizens must pass on excess costs either to private insurer policyholders or to taxpayers to pay interest on bonds sold to cover costs of claims). That’s only fair, and will shore up Citizens much faster than anticipated.
Some people will whine about this as a result, about how they now can’t afford to insure or buy a certain property. That’s unfortunate to them, but entirely fair because they should expect to pay for the preponderance of the costs of their insurance and not try to shift the burden to those who choose to live in less-risky areas, or who don’t have to pay for any insurance.
The thing not to do is what Allstate proposes, subsidize their business by creating a state-run risk pool where taxpayers would bail out insurers who do make mistakes. Instead, let the insurer try to make up for the mistake by raising rates – which of course will cause it some harm by losing business to smarter, lower-cost providers, but that’s what it deserves for making poor decisions, instead of forcing the consequences on taxpayers.
You don’t need special sessions, or summits, or anything fancy to address the insurance “crisis” described here, which is neither an emergency nor difficult to manage, if Louisiana (rather against its historical populism) lets the free market (as best it can in a regulated industry) reign. Most public policies’ optimal solutions come from government getting out of the way as much as it should, and this certainly is one such instance.
Jeff,
ReplyDeleteI can'tr totally agree with your assessment on this one by letting Allstate raise its rates and letting competition of other insurance companies come in and scoop up business. The truth of the matter is, here in south Louisiana, Lafayette in particular, many insurance companies will not write new homeowner policies. This has been true for the last few years. When I moved to Lafayette in 2004, we could not get anyone to write coverage and were about to be stuck with Citizens, however we thought we got lucky and were accepted by Allstate. Well, now that things have taken place that position is more precarious. Now, I don't like Cravins, but he is right, for once, about how Allstate failed to purchase re-insurance in a hurricane prone locale, saying they didn't think that a hurricane would hit LA in 2005. Well, if you or I tried that and went to the state after we lost our house in Rita or Katriina, saying yeah,but I didn't think a hurricane was going to hit me this year, so I want everyone else to pay for my damage. Of course that's absurd, but that is what Allstate is asking. Why can't Allstate take it's losses out of its $1.2+billion profits it just reported. When Ford has abad year with one of its divisions, it can't come back a report a profit for Ford when it lost it's but on Jaguar and Volvo. The loss is spread over the whole company. That is what Allstate should be made to do for their lack of foresight in not purchasing re-insurance. BEtter yet, I would not mind paying a little extra on my policy is Allstate and other insurers were forced to purchase re-insuarnce each year. It does not make sense not to pruchase re-insurance to cover hurricane damage in LA, I can understand not purchasing it for Minnesota, but come on, this is Louisiana and since as long as anyone cares we have been subject to the risk of hurricanes hitting us, that's why we purchase insurance as homeowners (and because the banks expect us to). We can't all be fortunate to have careers in S-port like you, LOL!
Brad Duhe
Hey Brad,
ReplyDeleteAll you say is reasonable, but profits or reinsurance aren't the issue here. It's whether Allstate has the right to decide whether to do business in this state (it does and doesn't have to be here if it doesn't want to, no matter how much money it makes), and what the state can do about this situation to encourage more companies to write policies.
That's the thing -- if the IRC would just say, "Give us something reasonable and we'll approve it," then maybe you wouldn't be forced into Citizens since companies may start writing again. Unfortunately, that may mean "tolerating" that much profit (and obviously rate increases) because you can't put a gun to Allstate's head and make them do business here. Whether they'll pull out is another matter (I think it's just a bluff to try to get the state to create a catastrophic fund, which is not the way to go), but unless we want a lot of government micromanaging, that's just the way it is.
I don't agree with the Catastrophic fund idea either, but Allstate is not really threatening to leave the state, they only wnat to cut wind/hail coverage as Farm Bureau did. But the arguments are different because of the need to abe able to show financial difficulties, which Allstate cannot do, due to their profits. What may wind up happening with allof this is the selling off of each state's insurance business by company to smaller, one state only entites--similar to Farm Bureau. This makes the state sink or swim--no pun intended--as it relates to shouldering the risk. This however defeats the whole idea of insurance speading the risk out over the whole nation or region to insure liquidity in the event of a disaster.
ReplyDeleteBrad Duhe