The past pair of elections for New Orleans mayor set up intrigue, because in both instances then-Lt. Gov. Mitch Landrieu ran and a victory meant statewide ramifications upon his leaving that office. But in 2014 as mayor, his ability to retain that office does the same.
That’s because some argue
reelection may encourage Landrieu into a bid for statewide office, almost
certainly the governor’s post, in 2015. Democrat officials hope so, because they
widely (if privately) believe he is the only one who could be competitive
against a field already with a strong Republican, Sen. David Vitter, and with another as strong
who has all but formally announced a bid, Lt. Gov. Jay Dardenne,
with perhaps other competitive GOP candidates to follow.
As Democrats are the distinct
minority among the statewide elective boards (the Board of Elementary and
Secondary Education), the top judicial organ (the Louisiana Supreme Court), and
entirely absent among state officeholders, just to snare even get one post,
especially the one at the top, is enough to make them salivate. However, even
with a Landrieu win tonight, such a Pavlovian reaction likely is unwarranted,
if foremost because Landrieu might pass on it, for some good reasons.